What did Trader Tardigrade 🧬 (@tatrader_alan) post on X, week of Sep 15 – Sep 21, 2026?

Dogecoin Technical Analysis

Dogecoin was the single biggest focus this week, and the stance was uniformly bullish across every timeframe. The core thesis: DOGE has built a multi-year floor and is on the verge of a parabolic breakout that mirrors 2015 and 2017. The monthly chart anchored the macro case. @tatrader_alan identified three Falling Wedges forming along the long-term support trendline — each prior wedge broke out and surged, and the third is now on the verge of breakout. "The third massive surge is incoming" [1], [2], [3]. Separately, he tracked three historical floor patterns (2015, 2017, 2022) where DOGE compressed for years then exploded: "We're sitting on the third floor right now. When DOGE leaves this floor, it won't be measured in percentages" [4], [5], [6]. His most-amplified authored post — the weekly bottom call that racked up ~14k views and 170 likes through retweets — argued the third touch of the long-term support trendline confirmed the bottom, with the structure identical to previous cycles [7], [8], [9], [10]. The weekly timeframe reinforced the floor thesis. DOGE testing the 50 WMA was framed as a reliable bounce signal: every previous touch at that moving average marked a successful rejection and reversal [11], [12], [13], [14]. On shorter timeframes, the picture moved from setup to confirmation. Early in the week, DOGE bounced off the Fibonacci 0.618 level at $0.0797 — "Fibonacci levels don't lie" — which he'd called the day before [15], [16], [17], [18]. He then flagged an ascending channel with a double bounce at support and a target of $0.093 [19], [20], [21]. By Sep 18, DOGE broke above all three Ichimoku indicators (Tenkan-sen, Kijun-sen, Kumo), though he cautioned the cloud was still red — the color flip to green would confirm the sustained shift [22], [23], [24], [25]. Fourteen hours later he confirmed the Kumo breakout held: price retested the cloud as support and resumed the uptrend, with bears failing to reclaim control [26], [27], [28], [29]. By Sep 21, the daily falling wedge was breaking out above descending resistance, pending candle close confirmation [30], [31], [32]. In reply-thread engagement, he agreed with @btcbox123 that DOGE and XRP get mocked but both have a history of massive surges — DOGE twice [33]. When @VitalijMatros asked whether to wait for a Kumo color flip before adding, @tatrader_alan explained it depends on trading style: aggressive breakout traders fill orders at the initial break, not waiting for lagging confirmation [22]. When @seth_fin said DOGE is loading, he replied: "We never get enough doge in our bags" [30].

Monthly macro: floor patterns and falling wedges: The big-picture case: three historical floors (2015, 2017, 2022) each compressed for years then exploded, and DOGE sits on the third now [4], [5], [6]. Three Falling Wedges along long-term support each preceded a surge — the third is nearly breaking out [1], [2], [3], [34].

Weekly bottom confirmation and 50 WMA support: The weekly trendline touch confirmed the third bottom with an indicator agreement [7], [8], [9], [10]. The 50 WMA is acting as dynamic support — every prior touch bounced [11], [12], [13], [14].

Shorter-timeframe: Fib, Ichimoku, wedge breakouts: Fib 0.618 at $0.0797 held and bounced as called [15], [16], [17], [18]. Ascending channel targets $0.093 [19], [20], [21]. Ichimoku Kumo breakout confirmed via retest [22], [26], [27], [28], [29]. Daily falling wedge breaking out by Sep 21 [30], [31], [32].

Reply-thread engagement on DOGE: Brief exchanges agreeing DOGE has surged before [33], explaining breakout trading style vs waiting for Kumo confirmation [22], and expressing conviction about accumulating [30].

Other Asset Technical Analysis

BTC was called bullish from the start of the week. On the monthly chart, BTC sitting below the 20 EMA was framed as a sale about to end — every previous dip below that level marked the end of a correction [35], [36]. On the weekly, two stacked patterns — a massive Megaphone containing an Inverse Head and Shoulders — put the right shoulder dip as the final entry before breakout, with targets of $109k and $200k [37], [38], [39]. The daily bull flag broke out on Sep 19 with RSI confirming, targeting $104k [40], [41], [42], [43]. By Sep 21, a sellside liquidity grab — price sweeping below support to trigger stops then reversing — put BTC approaching the top of the range, with @tatrader_alan asking who's ready for $100k again [44]. When @seth_fin posted about a BTC setup, @tatrader_alan replied with a $280k target [45]. ETH analysis was equally bullish and spanned multiple timeframes. A May 2025 prediction that ETH would bottom at ascending support was resurfaced and confirmed — ETH bottomed at $1,510, rebounded, and was forming a local top. The next call: a Fib 0.5 pullback to $2,089 as the last buy opportunity before moon [46], [47], [48], [49]. On the monthly, a multi-year Ascending Triangle with flat resistance at $4,500 projects a breakout target of $26,000 [50], [51], [52], [53]. The 3-day Inverse Head and Shoulders defined a buy zone at Fib 0.5–0.618 ($1,950–$2,086) with a stop at $1,648 and a target of $4,190 — roughly 100% profit [54], [55], [56], [57]. The daily Cup and Handle with a High Handle variant broke out, signaling extreme buyer strength [58], [59], [60], [61]. On Sep 20, the daily MACD bullish crossover fired — the last time this signal appeared, ETH surged from $1,800 to $2,500 [62], [63], [64], [65]. By Sep 21, he confirmed it delivered: "IT DID IT" [66]. When asked about the price target from the High Handle, he said it's measured by cup depth [58]. SOL had two distinct calls. The daily Bull Flag, stacking after a Symmetrical Triangle breakout, targeted $140 — and @tatrader_alan confirmed it hit, calling the flag bottom twice [67], [68]. The weekly chart showed 100/150 SMA crossover at the base of a downtrend, which historically triggers expansion phases, targeting $1,000 [69], [70], [71], [72]. When @VitalijMatros asked if he was adding to SOL at the flag bottom, he said: "Wait now" [67]. BTC.D (Bitcoin dominance) was the altseason trigger. The daily chart showed weakness near the 3-month trendline with bears in control. His call: "A Breakdown is coming" — if BTC stays stable while dominance drops, capital flows into alts. The breakdown confirms the altseason shift [73], [74], [75], [76]. In a reply to @MatthewHyland_'s altcoin dominance post, he noted a clean Inverse Head and Shoulders sitting under a potential breakout [77].

other

The remainder of the week's authored posts were emoji acknowledgements and pleasantries — 🤝, 🚀, 🙌🏼 replies to followers who engaged with his charts [78], [79], [80], [81]. No substantive content in these.