Trading Philosophy & Market Mechanics
The week's dominant theme was conviction and discipline. He argued that calling a move and trading it are two different things — the masses can call a bull market or a pullback correctly and still not profit, because putting real money on the line and enduring the outcome is what matters [1]. "Trade the chart in front of you, instead," he wrote — "enlightenment when you do" [1]. He pushed back hard against copytrading and pocket-watching. Quoting an Arkham post about CL207's $11.7M in longs, he called pocket-watching "the most low-testosterone behavior ever" and argued you can't borrow conviction — "your stomach, your resolve, your ability to endure [both drawdown and excessive UPnL] — that's what matters" [2]. Patience was a recurring thread. He had called for "chop for a month" earlier and defended it as the right call, saying "patience, before higher" [3]. By Saturday he declared "I think we've been patient enough at this point — send everything higher. Soon." [3]. His most-discussed philosophy post — 8 replies — used a poker analogy: "you should always cheer when the people around you are making money… in poker, you never sulk when the fish wins a big pot" [4]. He also pushed back on the idea that you need macro or political analysis to trade well, noting his 9-year hitrate beats the professionals who pride themselves on those fields [5]. When someone recalled refusing to buy Solana at $12 because it was $4 three weeks prior, he framed it as a universal trader problem, not a personal one: "it's not a you thing, it's just a thing" [6]. On timeframe selection, he explained he only uses 200ma and 200ema, so he adjusts the timeframe variable rather than stacking multiple MA lengths — "it's all vanity anyways" [7].
General Technical Analysis & Setups
On the majors, he repeatedly framed current consolidation as bullish. Quoting his own Aug-31 post about consolidations allowing momentum to reset without selloffs, he pointed to crypto majors as a textbook example of bullish consolidation and told followers "don't screw it up" [8]. When someone called him out for missing the 58k-to-80k move, he owned it with a single "yup" [9]. He stated plainly that "lower before higher is fine" — chop is still bullish in this context and pullbacks are bid opportunities [10]. By Saturday he was calling for the patience to pay off: "send everything higher. Soon." [3]. $LIT was his active alt setup. After taking profit at the pico top, he was looking to compound the remaining position at the same trend/inflection point used for the initial entry — a continuation of his early August thesis [11]. He posted an update two days later with a chart [7], and when asked about his unusual 3h timeframe, explained he finds whatever MAs best represent each timeframe and sticks with them until price action says otherwise [7].
HYPE / Hyperliquid Trading
His $HYPE stance was unequivocal: "$HYPE is still going to $100 and this time I'm positioned for it" [12]. He was quoting his own Aug-21 post where he admitted he missed the initial ATH breakout but called any pullbacks buy opportunities [12]. His most-viewed authored TA post — ~9.8k views, 138 likes — laid out two concrete $HYPE trade ideas: (1) bid the HTF inflection point where the key HTF trend and previous range highs act as support confluence, betting the trend discussed since January continues to hold; (2) bid the reclaim of the local trend, assuming the Daily Market Structure's higher low has already been found. Both target price discovery [13].
other
He posted a few sports bets — wanting Yamal to score in what he called "absolute shootout" [14], backing Schade to exploit Chelsea's defense after they conceded 9 goals in 4 games [15], and picking the Seahawks to keep a hot streak going [16].
Also this week
Crypto Meta-Commentary (~13%): He called out an accuser who claimed he only posts entries after the pump, noting he's "the only trader on this app that has ever drawn something up, exactly as it came into fruition, to then admit I missed the trade" — and that he's not a paid group leader [17]. Responding to blknoiz06 on on-chain mania, he pointed out that only one coin on RH chain has broken 500m mcap, yet last cycle AI slop agent coins rallied to billions within days — "my guess is the mania is even more ridiculous this time around" [18]. He broke from his usual no-macro stance with a specific prediction: "I believe the clarity act will pass," quoting Kalshi odds surging to 69% [19].
Personal Life & Gratitude (~8%): He openly admitted being wrong about Zcash — "I've never been more wrong about something" — but framed it with genuine enthusiasm for others' success: "gg well played. I love to see my brethren winning" [20]. He posted a homemade pizza with handmade dough, pepperoni, mushrooms, garden tomato and basil, stuffed crust, and garlic butter — slipping in "bears are dumb" and "we're going so much higher" between ingredients [21]. When an Italian follower approved, he called it "the best compliment I could've asked for" [21].
Top conversations
9 replies · 3.5k viewsHe admitted Zcash was his biggest miss but said he loves seeing others win, then when a follower said they'd love to see him winning too, he replied he's been winning plenty — opportunity is abundant [20]. [20]
8 replies · 3.4k viewsHe argued you should always cheer when others make money, comparing it to poker where you never sulk when the fish wins a big pot [4]. [4]
8 replies · 6.8k viewsHe predicted the Clarity Act will pass, quoting Kalshi odds surging to 69% — a notable break from his usual no-macro, no-politics stance [19]. [19]
Retweets
57.3k viewsRetweeted his own post showing two charts with the caption "markets often rhyme" — a visual TA comparison [22]. [22]
22.5k viewsRetweeted his own post pointing to crypto majors as a textbook example of bullish consolidations, quoting his Aug-31 thread about momentum resetting without selloffs [23]. [23]
20.9k viewsRetweeted his own $LIT update with a chart, quoting the original continuation-setup thesis from Sept-14 [24]. [24]
Calls
- ▲ LONG$HYPE$HYPE is still going to $100 and this time he's positioned for it [12]
- ▲ LONG$HYPETwo $HYPE trade ideas: bid HTF inflection point with trend + previous range highs as support, or bid the reclaim of local trend — both targeting price discovery [13]
- ▲ LONG$LIT$LIT continuation setup: compounding remaining position at the same trend/inflection point used for initial entry, same thesis from early August [11]
- N/An/aThe Clarity Act will pass [19]
